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The No. 10 Florida Gators play their first SEC road game this season when they square off against the undefeated Kentucky Wildcats on Saturday at Kroger Field in Lexington, Ky. The Gators (3-1, 1-1 in SEC) have played only one road game this season -- at South Florida on Sept. 11. On Saturday they return to Lexington, where they've won 16 straight games against Kentucky. Meanwhile the Wildcats (4-0, 2-0) are looking to go 5-0 for just the fourth time in the last 70 years. The winner of Saturday's game establishes itself as the top challenger to Georgia in the SEC East. 

Kickoff is 6 p.m. ET. The Gators are 7.5-point favorites in the latest Florida vs. Kentucky odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 56. Before making any Kentucky vs. Florida picks or college football predictions, you need to see what the proven SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. After going a sizzling 9-3 in Week 4, It also enters Week 5 of the 2021 season on a 81-61 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has dialed in on Florida vs. Kentucky and just revealed its CFB picks and analysis. You can head to SportsLine to see the model's picks and predictions. Now, here are the CFB odds and betting lines for Kentucky vs. Florida:  

  • Florida vs. Kentucky spread: Gators -7.5
  • Florida vs. Kentucky over-under: 56 points 
  • Florida vs. Kentucky moneyline: Gators -320, Wildcats +250 
  • FLA: The Gators rank third in the country in rushing yards per game (322.5) 
  • UK: RB Chris Rodriguez Jr. leads the SEC in rushing yards per game (130.5)

Why Florida can cover

After a slow start to the season, quarterback Emory Jones has been solid over the last two games. Since throwing an early interception against Alabama, the 6-foot-2 junior from LaGrange, Ga., has led the Gators to four touchdowns and a near-upset of the No. 1 Crimson Tide. And last week against Tennessee, Jones had his best game as a Gator, becoming the first Florida quarterback since Tim Tebow to throw for 200-plus yards and rush for 100-plus in a game en route to earning co-SEC Offensive Player of the Week honors.

In addition, the Gators face a Kentucky team that has lost the turnover battle all season. The Wildcats have committed 11 turnovers this season, which is tied for the most in the country. Their turnover margin per game (-2.25) ranks 129th in the FBS; only Wisconsin (-2.33) is worse.

Why Kentucky can cover

Quarterback Will Levis has been solid for Kentucky so far this season. The 6-foot-3 transfer from Penn State ranks fourth in the SEC in passing yards per completion (13.67), sixth in the conference in passing yards per game (225.5) and passing touchdowns (seven) and eighth in the SEC in total offense (242.2 yards per game). In his Wildcats debut, he passed for 367 yards and four scores.

In addition, Levis has a playmaking target on the outside in Wan'Dale Robinson. A Frankfort, Ky., native and a transfer from Nebraska, Robinson ranks 14th nationally and second in the SEC in receiving yards per game (100.5) and third in the conference in all-purpose yards per game (123.3). He enters Saturday with six plays of 30-plus yards.

How to make Florida vs. Kentucky picks

The model is predicting the under hits, saying the teams combine for 50 points. It also has generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the model's Florida vs. Kentucky ATS pick at SportsLine

So who wins Kentucky vs. Florida? And which side is covering well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Florida vs. Kentucky spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is on an 81-61 run on top-rated picks, and find out.