Lando Norris gave McLaren its first Formula 1 grand prix win since 2021 two weeks ago in Miami and now the team will set its sights on closing the gap on second-place Ferrari in the coming weeks. Norris received several equipment upgrades before his win and now teammate Oscar Piastri should receive the remaining upgrades the team didn't have time to fit ahead of the Miami Grand Prix. However, McLaren (and two time defending constructors' champions Red Bull) will cede home-field advantage to Ferrari with the 2024 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix being held at Autodromo Internazionale Enzo e Dino Ferrari on Sunday. The green flag drops at 9 a.m. ET.

Despite all the attention on McLaren's upgrades and Ferrari's desperation to please its home fans, Max Verstappen is still the dominant force in the sport and the Red Bull Racing driver is the -300 favorite (bet $300 to win $100) in the 2024 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix odds. Norris is next on this week's F1 odds board at +650 and he's followed by Charles Leclerc (+1000) and Carlos Sainz Jr. (+1400) of Ferrari. Before analyzing the 2024 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix starting grid and making any Formula 1 picks, be sure to check out the latest 2024 Emilia Romagna GP predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary Formula 1 prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. It's had a strong history of success in motorsports, correctly predicting 19 NASCAR winners since the 2021 season and its projected leaderboards have forecasted winners across multiple racing formats.

The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021. It nailed both of Charles Leclerc's wins in 2022, and at the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix, the model was strongly backing Verstappen as its top pick. The result: Verstappen dominated the field and ran away with a surprise victory. 

The model followed that up by calling Verstappen's win at the Rolex Emilia Romagna GP in April and then nailed his wins again in Belgium, the Netherlands, Japan, the United States, Mexico and Abu Dhabi. It also nailed all 19 of Verstappen's wins during the 2023 season and then called all four of the defending champion's wins to start the 2024 season. Anyone who followed the model's lead on those plays has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2024 Formula 1 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix and just released its coveted picks and leaderboard projections. You can head to SportsLine now to see the 2024 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 Formula 1 Emilia Romagna GP predictions

One surprise: The model is fading Sainz, predicting he doesn't live up to his billing as the fourth favorite at +1400. Ferrari's headquarters are just over an hour away from the Imola Circuit in Northern Italy and it will undoubtedly be a sea of red with Scudera badges everywhere on Sunday. However, that pressure hasn't yielded results since Formula 1 returned to Imola in 2020, with the team only capturing one podium spot in three grand prix.

Sainz scored a thrilling win in Australia earlier this year just two weeks after missing a race because of an emergency appendectomy but he's finished fifth in his last two starts. He's also struggled historically at Imola, finishing seventh for McLaren in 2020, fifth in his first season with Ferrari in 2021 and then being retired in 2022. Ferrari dominated Imola with Michael Schumacher winning the San Marino Grand Prix six times between 1999 and 2006 but frustrations are mounting amid their current struggles in Italy. See who else the model is backing and fading at the 2024 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix right here.

How to make 2024 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix picks

Instead, the model is targeting a driver going off longer than 50-1 to make a surprising surge up the leaderboard. Anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can find out who he is, and see all of the model's F1 picks and predictions, at SportsLine.

So who wins the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix 2024, and which stunning longshot charges toward the front? Check out the latest 2024 F1 odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2024 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix leaderboard, all from the model that nailed all 19 of Verstappen's wins last season, and find out.

2024 Formula 1 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix odds, grid, contenders

See F1 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix picks at SportsLine.

Max Verstappen -300
Lando Norris +650
Charles Leclerc +1000
Carlos Sainz +1400
Sergio Perez +2000
Oscar Piastri +2500
Lewis Hamilton +8000
George Russell +8000
Fernando Alonso +12500
Lance Stroll +40000
Daniel Ricciardo +50000
Nico Hulkenberg +75000
Yuki Tsunoda +75000
Kevin Magnussen +75000
Esteban Ocon +100000
Alexander Albon +100000
Pierre Gasly +150000
Valtteri Bottas +150000
Guanyu Zhou +200000
Logan Sargeant +200000