The Miami Dolphins are 9.5-point favorites over the Washington Commanders in the largest spread of the Week 13 NFL schedule according to the latest Week 13 NFL odds. However, Washington has lost three straight, including losing by 12 points to the Giants before falling to the Cowboys, 45-10, on Thanksgiving. A matchup against Miami's high-powered offense could bring similar results as last week against Dallas. The Dolphins have the second-best scoring offense in the NFL, averaging 30.8 points per game, so could Miami be undervalued and a team to include in Week 13 NFL bets?

If you like Miami, is there another tempting game to include in your Week 13 NFL parlay picks? The Texans (-3) will host the Broncos in what has become a surprisingly important game for the AFC playoff picture. The Texans have won four of their last five home games, so should you expect them to win by more than a field goal and cover one of the slimmest NFL spreads of the week? Before you make any Week 13 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 13 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 175-126 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 29-18 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season and is 22-8 straight-up the last two weeks.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has locked in five confident NFL best bets for Week 13. If you successfully parlay its picks, you'd be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. You can only see the model's Week 13 NFL picks at SportsLine.

Top Week 13 NFL picks

After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5) to cover at home against the Arizona Cardinals. The Steelers are 5-2 over their last seven games and 7-4 overall in a season some expected to be a struggle for a Pittsburgh team quarterbacked by Kenny Pickett. However, head coach Mike Tomlin, who doesn't have a losing season in any of his previous 16 years with the Steelers, continues to get the most out of his teams.

Pittsburgh had a season-high 421 yards the week after firing offensive coordinator Matt Canada. Kenny Pickett threw for 278 yards and Najee Harris rushed for 99 yards in a 16-10 win over the Bengals, so the offense may be ready to take a step forward without Canada. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have the second-worst scoring defense in the NFL, allowing 26.8 points per game. They are coming off a 37-14 loss to the Rams last week, allowing at least 30 points for the fourth time in their last nine games. The SportsLine model projects the Cardinals' defense to struggle to stop Pittsburgh, one reason why the model has the Steelers covering the spread in 60% of simulations. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here.

How to make Week 13 NFL parlays

The model also jumped on four other NFL matchups where it says the line is way off, including two underdogs that win outright. You can only see the model's NFL Week 13 best bets and parlay at SportsLine

What are the model's top Week 13 NFL picks? And which other NFL matchups should you target for a strong 25-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the Week 13 NFL best bets from a model on a 175-126 run on top-rated picks, and find out.