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A Group B showdown is set to take center stage at Euro 2024 when Italy takes on Croatia on Monday afternoon. These two countries have played against each other nine different times. Croatia have won three games and the other five matches have ended in a draw. The Croats have been outscored 5-2 in Euro 2024 and have a -3 goal differential. Italy enters Monday's match in second place in Group B with three points after securing a 2-1 win over Albania in the group stage opener. 

Kickoff from Red Bull Arena Leipzig is set for 3 p.m. ET. The Italians are +145 favorites (risk $100 to win $145) in the latest Italy vs. Croatia odds, while the Croats are +220 underdogs. A 90-minute draw is priced at +200 and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any Croatia vs. Italy picks, you need to see what proven SportsLine soccer insider Martin Green has to say.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Last year he was profitable in multiple areas on his soccer picks, including Euro qualifying (+6.30 units), the EFL Cup (+4.47), the FA Cup (+3.07), and the Champions League (+3.05), among others.

Now, Green has broken down Italy vs. Croatia from every angle and revealed his picks and Euro 2024 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see Green's picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Croatia vs. Italy:

  • Italy vs. Croatia money line: Italy +145, Croatia +220, Draw +200
  • Italy vs. Croatia over/under: 2.5 goals 
  • Italy vs. Croatia spread: Italy -0.5 (+145)
  • CRO: Croatia are ranked ninth in the world according to FIFA
  • ITA: Italy have won the Euro twice in history
  • Italy vs. Croatia picks: See picks here

Why you should back Italy

Midfielder Lorenzo Pellegrini has the skillset to be a threat in multiple assets. Pellegrini can be a creative passer with the strike power as a scorer. In the 2023-24 season with AS Roma, the 28-year-old finished with eight goals and three assists. In two international friendlies this year, Pellegrini has logged one goal.

Defender Riccardo Calafiori provides the Italians with another capable difference-maker. Calafiori has a knack for creating space and positioning himself to take advantage of the opposition. During the 2023-24 season for Bologna FC, the 25-year-old supplied two goals and five assists. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back Croatia

Before rolling into Euro 2024, Croatia were unbeaten in six straight games. That hasn't been the case for them so far but they have the playmakers to step up. Midfielder Lovro Majer is an attacking offensive threat who possesses good quickness. In the 2023-24 season with VfL Wolfsburg, the 26-year-old finished with five goals and five assists with 37 total shots.

Forward Andrej Kramarić has been a versatile striker throughout his career. Kramarić can be very tactical and score in a variety of ways. Last season for TSG Hoffenheim, the 33-year-old racked up 15 goals and six assists. Midfielder Luka Modric is the most experienced player on the field for Croatia. He has 175 caps for the Croats and is playing in his fifth Euro. See which team to pick here.

How to make Croatia vs. Italy picks

Green has broken down the Euro 2024 match from every possible angle. He is leaning Over on the goal total and has locked in two confident best bets. He's sharing his Euro 2024 picks and analysis only at SportsLine.

So who wins Italy vs. Croatia, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see which wagers have all the value, all from the soccer expert who is profitable across multiple leagues, and find out.

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