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Teams with tough defenses in this tournament collide Friday as Japan and Sweden square off in the quarterfinals of the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup. Japan breezed through the group stage, outscoring the opposition 11-0 while winning all three matches, and conceded for the first time in the competition in their 3-1 victory against Norway in the Round of 16. Sweden, who finished third in 2019, fell behind 1-0 in their group-stage opener but haven't allowed a goal since as they've won each of their four contests -- including a triumph over the two-time reigning champion United States on penalties in the first knockout round. The winner moves on for a showdown with the Spain-Netherlands winner in the semifinals on Aug. 15.

Kickoff at Eden Park in Auckland, New Zealand is set for 3:30 a.m. ET. The Japanese are the +128 favorites (risk $100 to win $128) on the 90-minute money line in the latest Japan vs. Sweden odds, while the Swedes are +225 underdogs. A 90-minute draw is priced at +200 and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. Japan are -167 to advance, while Sweden are +125. Before locking in any Sweden vs. Japan picks, you need to see what proven SportsLine soccer expert Martin Green has to say.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since last year's Men's World Cup, Green has been profitable in multiple areas on his soccer picks, including the Champions League (+4.78 units), the FA Cup (+3.07), the 2022-23 EFL Cup (+3.64), Euro 2024 qualifiers (+3.01) and the Europa League (+1.60). Anyone who follows him is way up.

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Now, Green has broken down Japan vs. Sweden from every angle and just revealed his picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see Green's picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Sweden vs. Japan:

  • Japan vs. Sweden 90-minute money line: Japan +128, Sweden +225, Draw +200
  • Japan vs. Sweden over/under: 2.5 goals
  • Japan vs. Sweden spread: Japan -0.5 (+120)
  • Japan vs. Sweden to advance: Japan -167, Sweden +125
  • JAP: The Japanese have outscored their opponents 24-3 while winning seven of their last eight matches across all competitions
  • SWE: The Swedes have lost just one of their nine contests across all competitions in 2023
  • Japan vs. Sweden picks: See picks at SportsLine 

Why you should back Japan

Since suffering a 4-0 loss against England in an international friendly on Nov. 11, the Japanese have gone 11 consecutive matches across all competitions without allowing more than one goal. They have posted five clean sheets during the streak, including four straight prior to their triumph over the Norwegians last Saturday. Japan was one of three teams that did not concede during the group stage of the Women's World Cup, joining Switzerland and Jamaica.

Japan have recorded a tournament-high 14 goals over their first four contests, with Hinata Miyazawa producing more than one-third of them. The 23-year-old midfielder leads the competition with five tallies, netting two in victories against Zambia and Spain before sealing the win versus Norway in the 81st minute. Mina Tanaka is tied for the WWC lead with three assists and has converted twice for the Japanese, as has Riko Ueki, while fellow forwards Aoba Fujino and Jun Endo have each registered a goal and two assists. See picks at SportsLine. 

Why you should back Sweden

Since conceding the first goal in their WWC opener against South Africa, the Swedes have outscored their opponents 9-0. The club is led offensively by Amanda Ilestedt, who netted the winning tally in the 90th minute of its 2-1 victory over the South Africans. Six days later, the 30-year-old defender recorded a brace in a 5-0 rout of Italy for her only multi-goal performance in 55 career matches with the national team.

Fridolina Rolfo also has been a major contributor in the tournament for Sweden. The 29-year-old forward, who scored against Norway in an international friendly in April, extended her streak by tallying in the Swedes' group-stage wins against South Africa and Italy before converting in the penalty shootout versus Team USA in the Round of 16. Forward Rebecka Blomqvist also has produced a pair of goals in the WWC while defender Jonna Andersson and forward Sofia Jakobsson have notched two assists apiece. See picks at SportsLine. 

How to make Japan vs. Sweden picks

Green has broken down the FIFA Women's World Cup quarterfinal match from every angle. He has locked in three confident best bets, all of which pay plus money, while also offering a full breakdown of this matchup. You can only see his FIFA Women's World Cup picks and analysis at SportsLine.

Who wins Japan vs. Sweden on Friday, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see which wagers in Sweden vs. Japan have all the value, all from the soccer expert who has been profitable in multiple areas, and find out.