The last time Jalen Brunson faced the Pistons, he dropped 42 points on them in a Nov. 30 victory. He and the Knicks will reconvene with Detroit on Monday, making Brunson undoubtedly a popular target amongst NBA prop bettors. However, none of the other four Knicks starters in that November game will be alongside Brunson tonight, so could his role change in this matchup? Sportsbooks have an NBA prop line of 31.5 points for Brunson, with prop odds of +102 for the over and -139 for the under.

Given his past exploits, that plus-money payout definitely looks appealing to jump on. However, Brunson has alternated going over and under 31.5 points over his last seven games, coming off an over performance of 34 points on Saturday. There is evidence to back both sides with this player prop, so having some proven advice would be highly beneficial before making a pick. Before making any NBA prop picks on sites like PrizePicks for Monday, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 19 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 63-39 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

For Monday's NBA schedule, the model has locked in its NBA best bets. You can only see the model's NBA prop picks at SportsLine

Top NBA prop bet for Monday

After simulating every game on Friday's NBA schedule 10,000 times, the model is picking Over 11.5 assists for Pacers guard Tyrese Haliburton at -127 odds. Haliburton and Indiana take on the Raptors tonight, and the two-time All-Star has games of 12 assists and 16 assists already this season against Toronto. Since being traded to the Pacers in 2022, Haliburton has averaged 12.6 assists across five starts against the Raptors, going over 11.5 assists in four of those five games.

Haliburton leads the NBA with 11.7 assists per game, but Toronto is the type of team that's very giving when it comes to opponent assists. Just five teams have allowed more assists this season than the Raptors, and that number is on the rise. The team has allowed 36-plus assists in four games in February, after doing so just once, total, through the first four months of the season. The model has Haliburton exceeding the total, and going over his season average, by projecting 12.4 assists on Monday. You can see which other NBA picks to back here.

All NBA prop bets for Monday

See Raptors vs. Pacers props here
See Knicks vs. Pistons props here
See Nets vs. Grizzlies props here
See Heat vs. Kings props here

How to make NBA prop picks for Monday

The model has simulated every NBA game 10,000 times and has some surprising projections for Monday's schedule. You can only see the model's NBA best bets and SGP picks at SportsLine

Which NBA prop picks should you target on Monday? Visit SportsLine now to see the NBA best bets from an advanced model that is on a 63-39 run on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.