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  • expert headshot
    Thomas Casale
    #3
    +623
    (67%)
    18-9 in Last 27 NCAAB Picks
    OHIOST
    -115
    Money Line
    Picked: Jan 4 @ 4:19pm

    Analysis

    This is a really tough spot for Nebraska coming off the big win over Michigan State over the weekend. The Huskers did win their one true road game at Illinois but I still think there will be opportunities to bet against them away from home this season and this is one of them. I took Ohio State ML -115 (DK) and would bet up to -130.
  • expert headshot
    Jeff Hochman
    #3
    +439
    (65%)
    13-7 in Last 20 NHL ML Picks
    UTA
    +106
    Money Line
    Picked: Jan 4 @ 3:18pm

    Analysis

    The New York Rangers return home after a 12-day, six-game road trip, capped by a 5-1 win over the Panthers (two power-play goals) despite being outshot 37-20. Mammoth ranks fifth in shots against and owns a +141 shot differential, including +21 in high-danger chances. Meanwhile, New York is 26th in shots against and holds a -121 shot differential, with -4 in high-danger chances. Utah already beat the Rangers this season with a sizable shot advantage. I like the road team in this spot.
  • expert headshot
    Jeff Hochman
    +732
    (65%)
    13-7 in Last 20 NCAAF ATS Picks
    MIAMI -2.5
    -122
    Spread
    Picked: Jan 2 @ 1:38pm

    Analysis

    Ole Miss battled Georgia, with both teams exceeding 70 plays—a significant amount of time on the field for both units. The schedule did the Rebels no favors by scheduling this game for Thursday instead of Friday. Miami has advantages in point differential, third-down defense, red zone offense and defense, run defense, opponent passer rating, net yards per pass defense, and sack differential. Against fellow bowl opponents, the Hurricanes hold the edge in net yards per play, net yards per rush, net yards per pass, and net yards per point on both offense and defense. Miami controlled the line of scrimmage vs Ohio State; this is repeatable against Ole Miss. If you find -2.5 at -115 or better, consider making it a 1-unit play.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1331
    (62%)
    68-42-1 in Last 111 NCAAF Picks
    MIAMI
    -143
    Money Line
    Picked: Jan 2 @ 1:59pm

    Analysis

    Thanks to my cohort Jeff Hochman for alerting me these lines became active. I went and looked earlier and they weren't. I would probably root for Ole Miss in almost any other circumstance with all those players have dealt with and now some assistants might have to leave for LSU during the playoff!? That ain't right man. And I think Lane Kiffin keeps getting bonuses with their wins. So wrong. Obviously biased but Ole Miss is not as good as Ohio State or probably Texas A&M and the U handled both. I wish the Bears could get Rueben Bain Jr. as that dude is a wrecking ball. Although Michael Irvin needs to tone it down a notch on the sidelines. Take a Xanax.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1331
    (62%)
    68-42-1 in Last 111 NCAAF Picks
    OREG +4.5
    -115
    Spread
    Picked: Jan 4 @ 2:06pm

    Analysis

    Indiana has burned me quite often this year so maybe I should just pass, but it's so hard to beat a really good team twice in one season in this sport. Ask Georgia. Or Alabama (vs. Georgia in the SEC title game). In four of the five total College Football Playoff rematches, the team that lost the earlier matchup came out on top. Indiana can win by 4, though, that's fine by me.

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