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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    #4
    +1082
    (75%)
    9-3-1 in Last 13 MLB Picks
    BOS
    -116
    Money Line
    Picked: Jul 16 @ 7:57pm

    Analysis

    The Red Sox have won nine games in a row, but the question is whether the All-Star break slowed their groove. Did the Red Sox forget about their daily mindset and routine after the 4-day All-Star break? They play Tampa Bay out of the gate to start the second half, who have beaten the Red Sox four straight meetings and six of seven. Griffin Jax has had some success lately and beat the Rays 8-4 his last time facing them on May 7, where he pitched four innings and allowed three runs. Left-handed Boston rookie pitcher Jake Bennett has a 2.64 ERA in eight career starts. The Rays have only won four of their last nine games. Red Sox to win.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +439.5
    (78%)
    14-4 in Last 18 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    Y. Diaz
    Under 1.5
    -182
    Hits
    Picked: Jul 17 @ 12:55pm

    Analysis

    I'd like to have something going in this early game. Can't really see a side or total I like, so let's throw literally a few bucks down on Tampa Bay's Yandy Diaz to not get at least two hits. That means I will be super-engaged in the top of the first because if Diaz gets a hit, then probably I am toast. But if not ... looking great. Diaz is hitting .370 at home but .273 away. The model has him at 0.53 hits for Game 1 of the doubleheader. This should be at least -200 imo.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Snyder
    +104
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 MLB Picks
    NYY
    -102
    Money Line
    Picked: Jul 16 @ 10:29pm

    Analysis

    The Yankees offense started to wake back up before the break and it spurred a four-game winning streak. They'll love seeing Roki Sasaki (8.61 ERA last five starts), who is prone to walks and home runs. I'm also expecting a big second half from Gerrit Cole.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +1316
    (64%)
    119-66-1 in Last 186 MLB Picks
    Under 10.5
    -116
    Over/Under
    Picked: Jul 17 @ 9:53am

    Analysis

    I think a 10.5 that isn't in Coors Field, Sacramento or Las Vegas has to be played toward the Under on principle. Yeah, it's hot in Kansas City and winds blowing out some but not crazily so. Two pretty solid starting pitchers in Michael King and Seth Lugo. Obviously both bullpens are fully ready. Our model has 8.5 runs scored.
  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    +162
    (63%)
    5-3 in Last 8 MLB ML Picks
    COL
    -112
    Money Line
    Picked: Jul 17 @ 10:08am

    Analysis

    Brady Singer is 0-5 with a 6.75 ERA in nine road starts. He’s had issues with left-dominated orders, and Colorado will have six, including three of its top four. The Rockies’ offense has been hitting but not scoring due to a lack of the clutch hit. In July the team’s home OPS is .998, its OPS vs. right-handers at .845. Those splits are far higher than those of the Reds. Rockies prospect Gabriel Hughes threw six quality innings vs. the Dodgers in his first start, this after a three-inning, zero-run relief spot vs. the Giants. He’s backed by a bullpen that’s actually delivering (2.13 ERA in July).

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