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  • expert headshot
    Thomas Casale
    #4
    +833
    (65%)
    24-13 in Last 37 NCAAB ATS Picks
    BAMA -5.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Feb 3 @ 3:31pm

    Analysis

    Alabama just got blown out at Florida, but I think it’s a good time to buy low on the Crimson Tide. Alabama struggles against Florida and Tennessee because those two teams kill them on the boards. The Tide are 0-10 in their last 10 games against those two teams. That won’t be a problem on Wednesday because Texas A&M lacks size and is one of the worst rebounding teams in the SEC. The Aggies can’t exploit Alabama’s biggest weakness. The Tide have also played a much harder SEC schedule up to this point. Texas A&M’s toughest stretch is coming up with games against Alabama, Florida, Vanderbilt and Arkansas in February. I'll back Bama in a bounce back spot at home. Bet up to -6.5.
  • expert headshot
    Thomas Casale
    Casale on Campus
    player headshot
    H. Henry
    Over 36.5
    -111
    Receiving Yards
    Picked: Jan 26 @ 12:44am

    Analysis

    The Seahawks' defense is tough but the one area the Patriots can exploit is utilizing the tight ends. Seattle allowed the sixth most yards to tight ends during the regular season. In two playoff games, Jake Tonges put up 59 yards and Colby Parkinson went for 62. Hunter Henry went over 36.5 yards 11 times this season and I expect him to be a big part of the Pats' offensive gameplan. Look for this number to go up in the next two weeks, so I recommend taking it early.
  • expert headshot
    Alex Selesnick
    #5
    +916.5
    (58%)
    62-44 in Last 106 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    K. Walker III
    Under 78.5
    -118
    Rushing Yards
    Picked: Jan 26 @ 3:05am

    Analysis

    This is an absolutely brutal matchup for Kenneth Walker against a New England front seven that has been dominant. With a healthy Milton Williams and Robert Spillane in the fold, no one has been able to effectively run against the Patriots. I am jumping on this early as I anticipate this line moving south as we approach kickoff. I consider this New England run defense to be the very best in the league. The Patriots season long metrics don’t reflect how truly elite their run defense is.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    +297
    (80%)
    4-1 in Last 5 NFL Team Props Picks
    New England
    Under 20.5
    -115
    Home Team Total
    Picked: Jan 26 @ 9:22am

    Analysis

    The Patriots have endured a monster run of defenses to get to the Super Bowl, and waiting for them is the league's No. 1 scoring defense. The last opponent to get to 300 yards against Seattle besides the Rams was the Cardinals in Week 10, and the Seahawks have allowed two total touchdowns in six games against non-Rams opponents since Week 12. Drake Maye had one game with a sub 60% completion rate heading into the playoffs and has been below that number in all three games. The Seahawks should excel against the Patriots' offensive line and continue to keep Maye uncomfortable, and Sam Darnold is playing well enough to not expect the Pats offense to get short fields. I love getting this above 20.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +842.5
    (77%)
    10-3 in Last 13 NFL Picks
    Under 46.5
    -115
    Over/Under
    Picked: Jan 26 @ 2:08pm

    Analysis

    Honestly may not even watch the Super Bowl as I just don't care about either of these teams and I surely don't care about Bad Bunny at halftime. I'm sure the Notebook or something Hugh Grant is on as oppo programing on Feb. 8. It is an outdoor game so maybe we get some elements in Santa Clara. But giving Mike Macdonald two weeks to prepare for sack- and fumble-prone Drake Maye makes me think Seattle will keep that New England offense in check. That offense did very little in the AFC title game. And I'm sure the Pats' defense will have some surprises for Sam Darnold, too. Last 46.5 on our board. Our model has 44 points. Sagarin has 45.2.

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