If you took a flyer on No. 1 overall pick Bryce Young football season, chances are you were saddled with one of the biggest Fantasy football busts. Young finished with 2,877 yards and 11 touchdowns while completing fewer than 60% of his passes. He was also sacked a staggering 62 times. Are Young's struggles during his rookie season a viable reason to avoid drafting this year's No. 1 overall pick Caleb Williams? Avoiding potential 2024 Fantasy football busts, whether they're established veteran stars or 2024 Fantasy football rookies coming in with significant hype, will be critical. With a live-updated set of 2024 Fantasy football rankings, you can spot players who won't live up to their 2024 Fantasy football ADP a mile away. As you begin your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle would fail to live up to his Fantasy football ADP. Waddle's 2023 Fantasy football ADP was 34.86 overall and he was the 11th receiver off the board on average. He'd go on to notch a 1,000-yard season but only had 72 receptions with four touchdowns and he'd finish as the No. 34 Fantasy football wide receiver in CBS Sports PPR leagues.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them.
Top 2024 Fantasy football busts
One of the 2024 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Packers wide receiver Jayden Reed. As a rookie, Reed came on strong late in the season, producing double-digit Fantasy points in seven of his last eight games and averaging 17.8 points per game in PPR leagues during that span.
However, Christian Watson wasn't in the lineup for the majority of that stretch and he is back in action at Packers training camp. The strength of Green Bay's wide receivers room is its depth, with Reed and Watson joined by Dontayvion Wicks and Romeo Doubs. That competition for targets is a big reason why the model ranks Reed behind receivers like DeAndre Hopkins and Chris Godwin despite the fact they're being drafted nearly 25 picks later on average.
Another bust that SportsLine's Fantasy football rankings 2024 have identified: Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. The 26-year-old made it through the 2023 season, throwing for 4,624 yards and 29 touchdowns. He was the QB5 in Fantasy scoring over the first eight weeks of the season, but the QB20 from Week 9 to the end of the regular season.
Tagovailoa still has several of the top wide receivers in the league at his disposal, Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, but his style simply does not add up to Fantasy dominance. He does not offer any rushing upside, especially with his concussion history. SportsLine's model barely has him ranked inside the top 20 among quarterbacks, which does not match his ADP. See which other Fantasy football busts 2024 to avoid here.
How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football rankings
SportsLine is also low on a wide receiver who is being drafted as a top-15 player at his position. The model ranks him outside its top 20 wide receivers for 2024 and expects him to see major regression. You can only see who it is, and the 2024 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2024 Fantasy Football busts should you avoid, and which receiver will fail to live up to expectations? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Jaylen Waddle in 2023, and find out.