Now that Justin Jefferson is without Kirk Cousins and could be relying on either Sam Darnold or J.J. McCarthy, can you still feel comfortable slotting Jefferson at No. 1 in your 2024 Fantasy football rankings? How far should the change in quarterbacks drop Jefferson in the 2024 Fantasy football WR rankings, if at all? Christian McCaffrey was the top-scoring running back by a wide margin last year, so should he return to the top spot among 2024 Fantasy football picks at running back? There are plenty of questions to answer as you start your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep. It's critical to target 2024 Fantasy football sleepers and 2024 Fantasy football breakouts while avoiding 2024 Fantasy football busts. Before setting your 2024 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Buccaneers wide receiver Rachaad White was being dramatically undervalued. White was coming off the board in the seventh round on average in 12-team PPR leagues, but he emerged as Tampa Bay's workhorse running back and provided significantly more value than expected, finishing No. 4 at his position. White rushed for 990 yards and six touchdowns while adding 64 catches for 549 yards and three more scores as a receiver. Anybody who followed the model's advice scored an every week starting running back in the middle rounds.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them.
Top 2024 Fantasy football sleepers
One of the 2024 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Chiefs wide receiver Marquise Brown. He has the chance to play with one of the top quarterbacks of all time in Patrick Mahomes. He's played with talented quarterbacks throughout his career like Lamar Jackson and Kyler Murray, but Mahomes is a unicorn. Brown signed a one-year contract worth up to $11 million this offseason and will turn 27 in June.
Brown has been a downfield threat throughout his career and few throw the deep ball better than Mahomes. Brown averaged just 5.7 yards per target last season with a 50.5% catch rate, which both are poor numbers. However, that came with receiving passes from Kyler Murray, Joshua Dobbs and Clayton Tune, with no quarterback playing more than eight games. Brown could emerge as Kansas City's No. 1 receiver. That's because Rashee Rice may face an early-season suspension stemming from his role in a multi-vehicle crash in Dallas this offseason, which would feed even more targets Brown's way. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2024 here.
Top 2024 Fantasy football breakouts
The model is also projecting Bears quarterback Caleb Williams as one of its 2024 Fantasy football breakouts. Chicago has spent decades looking for a franchise quarterback, and Williams has all the tools to become that player. He won the Heisman Trophy as a sophomore at USC, setting school records for passing yards (4,321) and touchdown passes (38).
He was not as impressive in 2023, but part of that can be attributed to poor offensive line play and dropped passes. Williams can make throws from the pocket along and create problems for opponents when he has to evade pressure, offering additional Fantasy value as a runner. He had 21 rushing touchdowns in his final two college seasons, giving him a clear path to becoming one of the top Fantasy football breakouts 2024. See more Fantasy football breakouts 2024 here.
Top 2024 Fantasy football busts
As for players to avoid, the model lists Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa as one of its 2024 Fantasy football busts. Tagovailoa led the NFL in passing yards (4,624) last year with 29 touchdowns, tied for the fifth most in the league. He did that in large part due to remaining healthy, something he has struggled with throughout his NFL career. Tagovailoa started all 17 games last season after playing no more than 13 over his first three NFL seasons.
The 26-year-old quarterback's production declined towards the end of the season, which is also alarming for Fantasy football players. Tagovailoa averaged 233.4 passing yards with five touchdowns over his final five regular the season games and threw for only 199 yards in Miami's 26-7 loss to the Chiefs in the playoffs. Tagovailoa was a viable starter as QB11 in Fantasy football over the first 13 weeks of the season, but ranked QB21 over the final eight weeks. The model suggests steering clear of Tagovailoa in the 2024 Fantasy football QB rankings. See more Fantasy football busts 2024 here
How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football football rankings
SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren't even thinking about being taken in the middle rounds of 2024 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-10 option ahead of stars like Trevor Lawrence and Aaron Rodgers. You can only see who it is, and the 2023 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2024 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade, and which QB shocks the NFL with a top-10 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that nailed Deebo Samuel as a bust last year, and find out.
